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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+2.18vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+1.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.29+6.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+0.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+4.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+0.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-1.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.02+2.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.70-0.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-0.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.02-0.52vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.86+1.05vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-5.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-2.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.10-4.84vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Boston College2.470.3%1st Place
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3.4Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.53Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.87Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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13.05Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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15.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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14.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Roe | 25.9% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 21.9% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Charles Gish | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Dominik Moncur | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hal Johnson | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Noah Reischmann | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Will Eggena | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 10.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Jason Dank | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 21.0% | 44.7% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 24.1% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.