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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+2.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+7.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+2.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+5.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36-1.54vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+1.56vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.80-2.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.29+1.40vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.23+0.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-3.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.70-2.74vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.20-0.85vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.10-2.67vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.86-0.83vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College0.02-5.56vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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3.46Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.82Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College0.700.1%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.17Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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15.1Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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14.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Roe | 23.9% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Conrad Straden | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Parker Moore | 21.5% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Grant Smith | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Reischmann | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 11.9% |
| Jason Dank | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 22.0% | 44.3% |
| Will Eggena | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 25.8% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.