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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+7.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+5.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.34+8.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+2.44vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.90+2.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+1.53vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.12vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.99vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-2.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.77vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-6.25vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.10-6.60vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.78-10.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.88Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.75Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.4Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.06College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Megan Magill | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 26.8% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.