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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+4.66vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.33-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07-1.96vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.31-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.98+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.28-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-2.82vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.27-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Western Washington University1.8123.6%1st Place
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2.9University of Washington1.8325.5%1st Place
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7.66University of Oregon-0.402.4%1st Place
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3.89Western Washington University1.3315.8%1st Place
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7.62University of Washington-0.362.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Washington1.0714.1%1st Place
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6.09Western Washington University0.315.8%1st Place
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8.73University of Oregon-0.981.9%1st Place
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7.36University of Washington-0.283.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Oregon0.113.4%1st Place
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7.49Oregon State University-0.272.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 23.6% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.5% | 22.5% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 33.8% |
| Alice Meng | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Emily Avey | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.