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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+2.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.42vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+1.56vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.82vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.74vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.09+0.37vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.43-1.02vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.56Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.48Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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6.9Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.37Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.57Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Conlin | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.1% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.9% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 28.3% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 23.6% | 42.1% |
| Mary Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 26.9% | 30.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.