← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Paige Conlin 5.5% 5.4% 5.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 10.3% 14.6% 14.3% 12.8% 7.1% 1.7%
Amanda Taselaar 11.1% 15.0% 10.3% 12.2% 13.4% 10.7% 8.5% 7.9% 6.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 14.7% 13.7% 13.0% 12.3% 12.0% 10.8% 9.4% 7.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 8.1% 8.4% 12.2% 9.4% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 6.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.4% 15.8% 13.2% 11.1% 11.2% 10.7% 9.6% 6.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Catherine Shanahan 17.9% 14.0% 14.7% 14.2% 11.7% 8.3% 8.1% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Liana Folger 10.7% 10.2% 12.1% 10.7% 10.1% 11.7% 11.2% 9.4% 8.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
Eleanor Conroy 6.4% 6.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 9.0% 11.7% 11.6% 14.7% 13.8% 6.1% 2.7%
Maggy Ashton 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 4.5% 6.7% 10.7% 17.7% 28.3% 22.1%
Sarah Gross 0.5% 0.7% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 1.6% 3.2% 5.3% 14.9% 23.6% 42.1%
Mary Hamilton 1.5% 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 7.9% 16.9% 26.9% 30.2%
Irene Jacqz 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 11.4% 10.2% 11.5% 10.7% 11.6% 9.4% 5.4% 2.4% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.