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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.16+0.58vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06-0.17vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17-1.08vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.55-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Jacksonville University0.7043.0%1st Place
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2.58University of South Florida0.1623.0%1st Place
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2.83Rollins College-0.0618.9%1st Place
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2.92Eckerd College-0.1713.3%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University-2.551.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 43.0% | 29.3% | 18.6% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 23.0% | 26.1% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 3.8% |
| KA Hamner | 18.9% | 20.1% | 25.8% | 29.6% | 5.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 13.3% | 22.4% | 27.8% | 31.7% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.