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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+2.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+7.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+0.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+2.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+4.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+0.07vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23+2.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.80-3.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+4.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.29-1.31vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+3.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.70-4.77vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-2.68vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.02-4.57vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.10-5.73vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.86-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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3.48Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.79Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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14.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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15.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.43Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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10.27Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.19Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Roe | 24.3% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Parker Moore | 21.3% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Conrad Straden | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Charles Gish | 13.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 25.6% | 33.8% |
| Matteo Asscher | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jason Dank | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 21.6% | 45.5% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Will Eggena | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.