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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+8.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.47+1.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+0.51vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.29+5.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.80-0.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+0.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+0.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25-1.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.10+1.31vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20+1.03vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.02-0.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.70-3.86vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.02-2.50vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+1.15vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-5.59vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.86-2.88vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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3.25Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
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3.51Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.57Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.76Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.03Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.56Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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15.15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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13.12Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fichtenholtz | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Cody Roe | 24.3% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Charles Gish | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Will Eggena | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hal Johnson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Jason Dank | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 22.2% | 45.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 11.4% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 27.0% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.