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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+2.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.80+2.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+0.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+2.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.29+4.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+4.29vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-1.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-0.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.02+1.52vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+5.16vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.20+0.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-2.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.02-2.57vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.70-5.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-5.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.11vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.86-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.78Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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3.24Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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10.52Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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15.16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.1Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Moore | 21.6% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Roe | 23.7% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Eggena | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 23.5% | 42.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hal Johnson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Noah Reischmann | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 25.1% | 36.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.