Race 1A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carlos Beckmann 21.9% 20.8% 16.7% 14.4% 11.2% 7.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Blake March 7.1% 6.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.7% 13.1% 13.7% 13.6% 13.3% 5.6% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 13.2% 13.7% 14.2% 13.2% 14.1% 10.9% 10.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Parker Thran 17.6% 17.1% 17.3% 14.2% 12.9% 9.1% 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Sean Ellison 9.3% 10.1% 10.1% 11.1% 11.7% 13.0% 11.7% 12.1% 7.2% 3.7% 0.0%
Kamron Kaiser 11.3% 12.5% 10.7% 15.0% 11.6% 12.6% 9.6% 8.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.1%
Zechariah Frantz 6.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 8.9% 10.6% 14.8% 15.7% 13.2% 9.2% 0.8%
Kyan Clark 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.5% 10.9% 17.6% 42.5% 7.3%
Ava Garrett 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 3.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.4% 13.3% 25.0% 24.9% 4.1%
Harrison Vanderground 8.4% 8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 11.0% 12.1% 12.9% 12.2% 11.2% 3.6% 0.2%
Christopher Cunha 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 2.7% 6.6% 87.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.