Race 2A

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kamron Kaiser 9.0% 12.5% 11.5% 13.3% 14.1% 13.2% 11.3% 9.4% 4.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Carlos Beckmann 25.1% 20.4% 16.6% 12.7% 10.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 13.4% 13.7% 14.8% 13.8% 11.7% 10.5% 11.6% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Parker Thran 19.4% 16.0% 16.6% 15.3% 12.3% 9.0% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Sean Ellison 9.0% 10.4% 10.5% 11.4% 10.5% 12.7% 11.8% 12.4% 8.0% 3.3% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 4.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.4% 7.8% 11.5% 12.3% 15.6% 16.4% 10.8% 0.6%
Blake March 7.7% 7.3% 9.1% 9.4% 11.8% 11.1% 12.7% 13.3% 11.2% 6.0% 0.4%
Ava Garrett 3.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 6.5% 7.4% 10.2% 14.0% 23.1% 23.2% 2.4%
Harrison Vanderground 6.5% 8.6% 8.5% 10.1% 11.2% 12.1% 13.6% 12.2% 10.8% 5.4% 1.0%
Kyan Clark 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.8% 5.5% 9.6% 18.2% 42.5% 7.6%
Christopher Cunha 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 6.7% 87.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.