Race 3A

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dawson Kohl 11.8% 14.9% 14.5% 14.7% 14.1% 12.4% 8.6% 6.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Kamron Kaiser 11.2% 12.2% 12.2% 13.6% 12.5% 11.6% 10.0% 9.7% 5.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Parker Thran 18.3% 18.0% 16.2% 13.5% 12.6% 8.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Carlos Beckmann 23.5% 18.3% 16.9% 15.9% 11.2% 6.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sean Ellison 10.3% 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 11.9% 13.0% 10.7% 8.2% 3.8% 0.0%
Harrison Vanderground 6.6% 10.2% 8.7% 8.3% 11.5% 13.8% 12.1% 12.7% 11.5% 4.3% 0.3%
Blake March 8.1% 6.9% 9.3% 9.3% 10.5% 12.8% 13.2% 12.3% 11.5% 5.5% 0.6%
Kyan Clark 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 5.0% 7.1% 10.3% 18.1% 42.1% 7.5%
Zechariah Frantz 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.5% 8.3% 10.4% 13.6% 16.3% 16.2% 9.6% 1.8%
Ava Garrett 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 9.6% 14.8% 21.8% 25.8% 2.1%
Christopher Cunha 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 3.0% 6.1% 87.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.