← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.93+2.66vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.17+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.40vs Predicted
-
4Embry-Riddle University-0.41+2.80vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.14+0.98vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida-1.04+2.00vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.39-2.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.03-2.35vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Florida1.13-5.67vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-1.60-1.10vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.97-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.66Jacksonville University0.930.2%1st Place
-
5.26Jacksonville University0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.8Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.98University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
-
8.0University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
-
4.59Florida State University0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.65University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
-
3.33University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
-
8.9Florida Institute of Technology-1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.45Embry-Riddle University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Thran | 18.9% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Ellison | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Blake March | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 14.8% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 23.2% | 21.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyan Clark | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 26.8% | 29.8% |
| Kevin Allison | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.