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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+0.81vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.49vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40-0.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.69vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-1.08vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.26vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.09+0.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.43-0.99vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.51Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.61Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.92Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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10.36Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.55Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 14.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liana Folger | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.6% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 26.1% | 40.4% |
| Mary Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 17.7% | 27.9% | 29.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.