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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+1.15vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.03vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+0.22vs Predicted
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5American University-0.61-1.08vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.49-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Princeton University0.8432.8%1st Place
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1.97Rochester Institute of Technology1.0641.5%1st Place
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3.76Princeton University-0.459.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.6%1st Place
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3.92American University-0.617.3%1st Place
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4.97Villanova University-1.492.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 32.8% | 35.1% | 19.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Turner | 41.5% | 31.1% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 9.0% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 12.2% |
| Henry Powell | 6.6% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 28.7% | 20.8% |
| Brooke Lorson | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 23.9% | 15.4% |
| Julia Gordon | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.