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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.52vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.15+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.53-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-1.14-0.35vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50-0.76vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.70-1.31vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Virginia-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.24American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University-1.700.1%1st Place
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6.27Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 33.0% | 24.8% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 18.5% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Henry Myrick | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% |
| Sophie Grigg | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Grace Earl | 8.8% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 24.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.