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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-1.14+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.15+1.67vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.53-1.43vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50-0.74vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-0.62vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.70-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Virginia-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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3.34William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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5.26American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.38Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 33.0% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Grace Earl | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 8.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 18.7% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Grigg | 16.6% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 43.0% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.