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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.40+2.62vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.09+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.15+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.33-1.45vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.70+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.53-2.13vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-0.46vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.16Virginia Tech-0.090.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Virginia0.330.3%1st Place
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5.88North Carolina State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.54Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.44American University-1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.7% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Luke Manternach | 19.7% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Henry Myrick | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 10.1% |
| Arda Alpan | 31.8% | 23.7% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.5% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 45.7% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.