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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.33+1.45vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.09+1.17vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.53-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-1.15-0.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.70-0.15vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50-1.41vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Virginia0.330.3%1st Place
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3.17Virginia Tech-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.64William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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5.85North Carolina State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.59American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.45Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Alpan | 34.3% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Manternach | 20.4% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.0% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Henry Myrick | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 9.3% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 25.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 20.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.