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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+3.84vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.85vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.48vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40-0.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.04vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-1.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.80vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.43-0.16vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.09-0.50vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.85SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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4.52Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.91Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.5Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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5.55Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Liana Folger | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paige Conlin | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.5% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 28.2% | 23.4% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 22.8% | 45.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.