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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+1.18vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.21vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.45-0.24vs Predicted
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5American University-0.61-1.07vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.49-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Princeton University0.8433.8%1st Place
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1.97Rochester Institute of Technology1.0640.6%1st Place
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4.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.8%1st Place
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3.76Princeton University-0.458.9%1st Place
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3.93American University-0.618.2%1st Place
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4.94Villanova University-1.492.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 33.8% | 32.0% | 20.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Turner | 40.6% | 32.9% | 17.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Powell | 5.8% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 29.5% | 20.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 8.9% | 11.1% | 20.6% | 25.5% | 22.2% | 11.7% |
| Brooke Lorson | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 17.0% |
| Julia Gordon | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.