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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.52vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.53+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-1.14+0.53vs Predicted
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5American University-1.50+0.17vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90+1.04vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.70-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.15-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.29William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.17American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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7.04Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.56North Carolina State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 33.0% | 25.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 19.6% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Grigg | 17.6% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Earl | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 9.8% |
| Christian Aron | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 61.0% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 25.4% | 17.6% |
| Henry Myrick | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.