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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.49vs Predicted
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3American University-1.50+2.11vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.70+1.49vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.40-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-1.15-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.14-2.44vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.90-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.49University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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5.11American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.25William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Virginia-1.140.1%1st Place
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7.08Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 34.1% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 16.3% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 21.6% | 9.4% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 14.4% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 19.1% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Henry Myrick | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Grace Earl | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 6.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.