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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.09+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.33+0.24vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.70+2.20vs Predicted
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4American University-1.50+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.53-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-1.15-1.66vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.08vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.37-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Virginia Tech-0.090.3%1st Place
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2.24University of Virginia0.330.4%1st Place
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5.2North Carolina State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.92American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Virginia-1.150.1%1st Place
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5.92Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.27William and Mary-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Manternach | 26.5% | 24.0% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Arda Alpan | 36.0% | 29.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 5.7% |
| Sophie Grigg | 15.0% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 8.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 32.2% | 17.1% |
| Tyler Boissevain | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.