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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.55vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.81+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.55+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.82-0.15vs Predicted
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5American University-2.08+0.91vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90+0.96vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.58-3.50vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.16-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.85North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Maryland-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.91American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.96Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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3.5William and Mary-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.97University of Virginia-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 31.6% | 25.8% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Campbell | 13.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 17.3% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 13.2% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Lance Shrum | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 29.1% | 19.3% |
| Christian Aron | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 55.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 16.8% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Robert Cunningham | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 28.5% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.