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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.82+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.14+0.36vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.81+0.27vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58-1.02vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.15+0.26vs Predicted
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6American University-2.08-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-3.68+0.08vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.36-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Maryland-0.820.2%1st Place
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2.36University of Virginia-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.27North Carolina State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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2.98William and Mary-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.26Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.14American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Virginia-3.680.0%1st Place
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6.69Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hoppe | 17.5% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Merritt | 33.4% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Campbell | 17.5% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 20.1% | 23.6% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 19.2% | 5.1% |
| Lance Shrum | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 5.8% |
| David Samy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 23.9% | 55.3% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 36.2% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.