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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.82+2.24vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.14-0.64vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-2.15+0.23vs Predicted
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6American University-2.08-0.88vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-3.36-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-3.68-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Maryland-0.820.2%1st Place
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2.96William and Mary-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.36University of Virginia-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.29North Carolina State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.12American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.77Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Virginia-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hoppe | 17.1% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 20.5% | 23.3% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Merritt | 33.8% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Campbell | 17.1% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 28.9% | 18.3% | 4.8% |
| Lance Shrum | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 28.1% | 14.9% | 5.6% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 32.4% | 40.2% |
| David Samy | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 28.4% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.