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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.55+1.14vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-1.88+2.17vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.81-0.45vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-3.36+2.16vs Predicted
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6American University-2.08-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-2.16-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.82-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.14University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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5.17William and Mary-1.880.1%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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7.16Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.51American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Virginia-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-0.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 33.7% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 19.3% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Conor Farah | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 8.3% |
| Coleman Campbell | 15.2% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 17.5% | 62.6% |
| Lance Shrum | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 12.0% |
| Robert Cunningham | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 25.8% | 15.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 16.3% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.