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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.55+1.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.81+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.82-0.45vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.88+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-2.16-0.34vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-3.36+0.15vs Predicted
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8American University-2.08-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Virginia Tech-0.030.4%1st Place
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3.13University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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3.48North Carolina State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-0.820.2%1st Place
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5.24William and Mary-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Virginia-2.160.0%1st Place
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7.15Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.48American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 36.4% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 19.0% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Campbell | 15.4% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 15.4% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Conor Farah | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 7.9% |
| Robert Cunningham | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 26.6% | 14.8% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 64.6% |
| Lance Shrum | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 24.0% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.