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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.82+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.55+0.08vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.81-0.47vs Predicted
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5American University-2.08+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-2.16-0.36vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-3.36+0.14vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.88-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Virginia Tech-0.030.4%1st Place
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3.54University of Maryland-0.820.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Virginia-0.550.2%1st Place
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3.53North Carolina State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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5.57American University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Virginia-2.160.0%1st Place
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7.14Catholic University of America-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.18William and Mary-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 35.6% | 28.1% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 15.0% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 19.9% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Campbell | 15.5% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Lance Shrum | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 26.0% | 11.7% |
| Robert Cunningham | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 14.4% |
| Harrison Blahunka | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 15.4% | 64.6% |
| Conor Farah | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 19.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.