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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+1.18vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.02vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+0.76vs Predicted
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4American University-0.61-0.05vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.49-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Princeton University0.8433.9%1st Place
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1.98Rochester Institute of Technology1.0641.1%1st Place
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3.76Princeton University-0.458.8%1st Place
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3.95American University-0.617.2%1st Place
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4.94Villanova University-1.492.7%1st Place
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4.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asher Green | 33.9% | 31.6% | 20.9% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Cameron Turner | 41.1% | 32.0% | 16.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Sebastien Nordenson | 8.8% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 23.5% | 11.5% |
Brooke Lorson | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 17.0% |
Julia Gordon | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 49.4% |
Henry Powell | 6.2% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 27.0% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.