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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+2.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.44vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+1.51vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.09+5.42vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.29vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.43+1.81vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-4.70vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.40-4.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.12vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.81-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.2%1st Place
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5.51Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.42Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.71SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.08Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Folger | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 16.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 43.9% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hamilton | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 28.1% | 26.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 19.6% | 29.2% | 24.9% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.