← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Cottage 22.0% 17.6% 17.0% 13.8% 10.9% 9.3% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Charlotte Shaw 13.7% 16.4% 15.9% 13.9% 13.4% 11.7% 8.5% 3.8% 2.3% 0.4%
Andrew Martin 17.5% 15.3% 16.4% 15.5% 14.2% 9.2% 7.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Jeffrey Rhoads 21.5% 19.9% 15.3% 16.9% 11.2% 8.5% 3.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Caroline Fuller 4.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 9.1% 12.8% 18.2% 17.5% 13.5%
Julia Marich 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 5.5% 7.6% 11.9% 13.7% 22.4% 24.3%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 7.2% 10.0% 10.2% 10.7% 14.2% 15.5% 14.0% 10.1% 5.8% 2.3%
Keith Henderson 5.2% 8.0% 7.0% 8.3% 12.3% 11.9% 14.7% 14.5% 11.2% 6.9%
Max Santos 3.4% 3.0% 4.9% 6.2% 6.7% 10.6% 12.2% 16.7% 19.9% 16.4%
Elise Singletary 1.7% 1.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 6.6% 9.1% 14.4% 18.9% 35.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.