← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Rhoads 23.2% 20.4% 15.0% 13.2% 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
James Cottage 19.4% 19.7% 16.1% 14.3% 13.2% 8.7% 5.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Keith Henderson 5.9% 5.9% 8.3% 7.5% 8.5% 13.3% 18.0% 15.3% 11.1% 6.2%
Andrew Martin 16.7% 17.6% 16.8% 15.1% 13.8% 9.6% 6.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Charlotte Shaw 15.5% 14.0% 15.1% 18.4% 13.5% 9.5% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Caroline Fuller 4.9% 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 8.2% 10.6% 13.0% 16.2% 17.8% 13.9%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 6.4% 9.9% 11.4% 11.0% 14.4% 15.6% 12.9% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7%
Max Santos 3.4% 3.4% 5.5% 5.5% 7.5% 9.7% 12.5% 18.5% 17.4% 16.6%
Julia Marich 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 11.7% 13.0% 24.1% 24.2%
Elise Singletary 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.4% 9.7% 14.2% 19.1% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.