Race 3A

mccurdy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karolina Debniak 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 11.1% 8.8% 11.4% 13.8% 13.7% 9.3% 7.3%
James Cottage 21.4% 20.3% 15.7% 14.8% 10.1% 8.4% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 9.0% 11.7% 14.7% 13.7% 9.4% 8.4% 3.8%
Jeffrey Rhoads 23.6% 18.9% 17.6% 14.9% 11.3% 5.9% 3.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Benjamin Koly 13.4% 11.4% 14.9% 14.2% 13.7% 12.1% 8.2% 6.4% 4.1% 1.6%
Alexander Pfeffer 10.2% 12.3% 10.6% 13.2% 12.7% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.6%
Keith Henderson 4.7% 7.2% 9.0% 8.7% 9.6% 12.5% 13.6% 13.3% 13.5% 7.9%
Julia Marich 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 13.4% 19.9% 29.6%
Anna Kucharik 3.5% 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 6.1% 7.7% 9.3% 14.7% 17.4% 29.4%
Caroline Fuller 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 9.2% 7.7% 12.2% 14.0% 19.7% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.