Race 4A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Rhoads 26.3% 19.6% 15.9% 12.1% 9.6% 8.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Benjamin Koly 12.4% 12.3% 14.3% 12.5% 14.2% 11.0% 10.7% 6.8% 4.6% 1.2%
James Cottage 21.4% 18.7% 15.7% 16.0% 12.9% 6.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Karolina Debniak 5.3% 7.9% 10.2% 9.3% 10.7% 12.1% 14.5% 12.8% 10.9% 6.3%
Caroline Fuller 4.4% 6.1% 5.5% 7.9% 5.5% 8.6% 10.8% 15.8% 18.3% 17.1%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 10.6% 8.6% 10.1% 13.0% 12.4% 10.8% 12.1% 11.5% 7.6% 3.3%
Alexander Pfeffer 8.3% 12.0% 12.4% 12.3% 12.1% 14.3% 11.3% 9.2% 6.0% 2.1%
Keith Henderson 5.9% 8.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.2% 12.4% 11.6% 14.0% 13.1% 8.3%
Julia Marich 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 8.2% 10.4% 11.3% 19.5% 32.0%
Anna Kucharik 2.5% 3.2% 4.9% 4.4% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 13.5% 18.2% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.