Race 2B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Wszolek 20.9% 17.3% 15.1% 12.2% 11.3% 10.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Hannah Arey 17.6% 15.0% 14.6% 16.7% 12.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Sophia Dimont 8.7% 9.7% 9.2% 10.1% 10.4% 16.4% 14.4% 11.1% 8.3% 1.7%
Cooper Bennett 6.8% 8.3% 11.0% 10.3% 11.9% 14.2% 13.1% 12.5% 10.1% 1.8%
Jake Alexander 16.5% 16.8% 16.9% 13.2% 15.1% 8.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Berk Alp Kaya 15.5% 15.7% 13.4% 14.9% 12.1% 10.4% 8.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.3%
Carter Weiss 4.0% 5.5% 6.7% 8.7% 8.4% 9.7% 14.8% 18.8% 18.0% 5.4%
Jillian Lybeck-Brown 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 11.2% 13.9% 17.8% 15.3% 3.4%
Nathan Story 3.3% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.7% 16.7% 29.0% 10.9%
Carolynn Wildrick 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 3.3% 3.9% 10.9% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.