Race 10B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jennifer Borshoff 13.9% 12.4% 12.9% 12.5% 14.1% 11.0% 8.7% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Liana Folger 9.5% 10.7% 9.1% 11.9% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Irene Jacqz 10.3% 7.9% 10.3% 11.1% 9.0% 11.2% 11.5% 11.9% 9.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Paige Conlin 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9% 10.3% 13.0% 15.6% 11.4% 6.2% 1.6%
Marissa Lihan 13.6% 14.4% 15.5% 11.8% 10.8% 10.8% 8.7% 6.2% 4.6% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 16.5% 17.0% 16.0% 11.7% 10.3% 9.9% 9.1% 4.3% 2.7% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Amanda Taselaar 12.9% 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 10.9% 11.5% 10.2% 8.0% 6.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Rachel Austin 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 9.0% 11.3% 9.6% 10.6% 11.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Maggy Ashton 1.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 6.9% 10.6% 19.0% 27.5% 22.9%
Eleanor Conroy 5.5% 5.7% 5.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.9% 10.6% 11.3% 17.0% 12.4% 7.0% 2.1%
Mary Hamilton 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 1.6% 3.5% 3.6% 5.6% 6.7% 18.8% 26.1% 29.2%
Sarah Gross 0.7% 1.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 5.6% 13.5% 25.4% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.