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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.01vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.45+1.70vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84-0.81vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.49+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.83vs Predicted
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6American University-0.61-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Rochester Institute of Technology1.0639.1%1st Place
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3.7Princeton University-0.459.3%1st Place
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2.19Princeton University0.8434.4%1st Place
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4.95Villanova University-1.493.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.836.6%1st Place
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3.99American University-0.617.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 39.1% | 31.9% | 20.1% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 9.3% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 20.6% | 11.9% |
| Asher Green | 34.4% | 31.3% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gordon | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 50.4% |
| Henry Powell | 6.6% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 26.7% | 20.6% |
| Brooke Lorson | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 26.2% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.