Race 11B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Irene Jacqz 9.3% 10.5% 8.3% 11.2% 10.8% 13.1% 12.8% 12.4% 8.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 14.1% 15.6% 12.1% 14.0% 13.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Sarah Gross 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 9.9% 17.0% 24.6% 31.2%
Marissa Lihan 13.7% 14.7% 14.5% 14.2% 12.7% 10.8% 8.7% 5.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Amanda Taselaar 12.6% 13.9% 13.7% 11.9% 11.8% 9.0% 12.2% 7.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Rachel Austin 10.0% 8.4% 10.5% 8.8% 12.2% 13.7% 11.3% 11.8% 9.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Maggy Ashton 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 5.3% 6.8% 16.3% 21.6% 22.1% 14.2%
Mary Hamilton 1.3% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 4.7% 6.8% 14.3% 21.5% 23.1% 16.5%
Catherine Shanahan 18.7% 17.0% 16.1% 14.1% 9.9% 10.4% 6.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Paige Conlin 6.8% 5.0% 7.4% 6.5% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 18.0% 14.5% 8.5% 3.0% 1.0%
Liana Folger 10.0% 10.0% 11.3% 11.7% 11.6% 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 5.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Brogan Savage 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.9% 8.1% 17.5% 24.5% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.