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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.21+5.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+6.60vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.77+5.43vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+3.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.01+9.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.70+2.50vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.43+2.59vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+2.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.69-0.52vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.08-2.84vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.45-1.26vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.50-2.29vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-4.14vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.39-4.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.83-7.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-6.12vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.19-2.51vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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14.62Fordham University0.010.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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10.35Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College1.450.1%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Posner | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Raam Fox | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Robert Upton | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 36.5% |
| Zachary Severson | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Bo Angus | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Craine | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| William Denker | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 31.3% |
| Abe Weston | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.