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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+9.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.08+4.91vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.21+3.44vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+3.53vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.56+7.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.38+3.64vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.43+2.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.50+1.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.83-1.29vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.11vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.70-3.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.77-5.18vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.11-3.55vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.57-6.18vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.69-7.64vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.01-2.18vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.19-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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9.45Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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7.82Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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14.82Fordham University0.010.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Bo Angus | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Rory Murray | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Raam Fox | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Hudson | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Abe Weston | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Robert Upton | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 36.6% |
| William Denker | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.