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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.77+7.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.21+4.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+4.96vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+3.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+3.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.70+1.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.08-1.33vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.01+5.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.50-0.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.69-2.57vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.43-2.28vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.56-0.26vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.24-4.09vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.39-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-6.36vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.19-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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14.66Fordham University0.010.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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12.74Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Hudson | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Posner | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Raam Fox | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Severson | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Bo Angus | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 34.9% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 6.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Rory Murray | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Abe Weston | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| William Denker | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.