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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+9.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.77+6.41vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+5.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.21+2.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+3.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.08+0.89vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+2.80vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.73+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.11+1.98vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.83-1.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.57-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.19+2.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.50-3.78vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-4.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.01-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-6.10vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.43-7.25vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.70-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.730.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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14.57University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College1.450.1%1st Place
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14.82Fordham University0.010.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Gavin Hudson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Posner | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Bo Angus | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Raam Fox | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Abe Weston | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| William Denker | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 34.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Duncan Craine | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Robert Upton | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 18.9% | 36.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Severson | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.