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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+5.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.80+4.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.11vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.48+1.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.34+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.68-1.37vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.78+0.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.98-0.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.89-1.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.08+0.29vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.30-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.75-7.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.97-5.75vs Predicted
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16George Washington University-0.35-2.62vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.55-2.95vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.26-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College1.340.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.29Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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11.49Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.38George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mason Cook | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Keenan | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Stratton | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 11.4% |
| Grace Penque | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Max Sigel | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erickson Rankin | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 23.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 30.7% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.