Race 12B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Taselaar 12.7% 11.5% 13.3% 11.2% 14.8% 11.4% 10.7% 8.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Liana Folger 9.2% 12.4% 10.7% 12.5% 12.1% 11.5% 12.6% 9.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 15.2% 12.6% 14.2% 13.2% 11.6% 12.0% 10.7% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 14.3% 16.4% 13.8% 13.1% 12.9% 10.0% 9.2% 6.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Maggy Ashton 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 8.6% 15.4% 19.5% 23.1% 16.3%
Rachel Austin 9.3% 9.4% 9.9% 12.1% 10.4% 12.0% 13.4% 12.0% 7.5% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Paige Conlin 6.7% 5.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.9% 10.0% 10.5% 16.4% 12.9% 8.8% 3.1% 1.3%
Catherine Shanahan 19.1% 16.6% 14.0% 12.8% 11.9% 11.3% 6.4% 4.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Hamilton 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 4.9% 7.5% 16.8% 24.1% 20.2% 16.7%
Irene Jacqz 9.6% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 10.4% 11.8% 12.0% 12.7% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Brogan Savage 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 10.2% 15.6% 25.8% 35.5%
Sarah Gross 0.8% 1.4% 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 11.0% 18.6% 25.3% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.