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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.48+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.68+4.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75+2.46vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.30+5.73vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.98+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-2.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.78+0.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.80-4.92vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.97-2.80vs Predicted
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13George Washington University-0.35+0.46vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.08-1.71vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-5.42vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.55-2.10vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.26-3.76vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.34-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.73Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.46George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.29Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Stratton | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Penque | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erickson Rankin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Petrush | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 31.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| Ryan Keenan | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.