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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+4.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.35+11.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.34+4.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+2.25vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.30+6.34vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.68+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.48-0.83vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-5.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.98-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-5.72vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.55+0.08vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-5.43vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.97-6.86vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.78-7.13vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.08-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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13.45George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College1.340.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.34Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.08University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.14Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.3Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| Ryan Keenan | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Penque | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| William Stratton | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mason Cook | 15.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 32.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Erickson Rankin | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.