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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+3.95vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.34+3.55vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.89+3.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+0.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.48-1.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.98-0.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.78-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-5.24vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.30-0.65vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.02vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.97-5.04vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.08-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.43-5.24vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.55-3.14vs Predicted
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18George Washington University-0.35-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College1.340.1%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College0.980.1%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.35Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.15Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.29George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Keenan | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Penque | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| Erickson Rankin | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% |
| David Webb | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 29.0% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.