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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.48+5.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.80+3.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+1.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.34+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.97+0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.72vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43+0.90vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.08+0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.26+1.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.98-4.26vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-4.42vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-5.80vs Predicted
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16Cornell University0.30-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.55-3.08vs Predicted
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18George Washington University-0.35-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College1.340.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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11.95Harvard University0.080.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.2Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.23Cornell University0.300.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.35George Washington University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Keenan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erickson Rankin | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mason Cook | 18.7% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Grace Penque | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Petrush | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 29.7% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.