Race 1A

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tomas Riccio 16.3% 14.4% 15.8% 13.7% 11.4% 9.8% 8.3% 4.2% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
James Kopack 18.9% 16.4% 15.6% 13.0% 11.8% 7.9% 7.8% 4.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Mather 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 7.9% 7.2% 11.6% 10.6% 11.6% 10.0% 11.0% 9.1% 3.5% 1.4%
Aidan Woods 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 5.1% 7.2% 7.9% 9.4% 10.9% 14.0% 13.1% 13.7% 4.4%
Alex Von Lehe 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.8% 9.0% 9.4% 14.4% 23.6% 19.0%
Logan Mraz 13.3% 12.5% 12.6% 12.4% 12.3% 11.1% 8.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Adam Starck 7.6% 9.5% 9.4% 9.8% 9.4% 12.5% 11.0% 9.9% 9.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Lorenzo Puertas 20.9% 20.1% 16.7% 13.0% 13.0% 7.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Salzberg 3.8% 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 6.9% 5.9% 9.6% 11.8% 12.7% 12.3% 9.8% 9.3% 2.8%
Lyles Bechtel 2.7% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 5.6% 6.0% 10.6% 9.8% 13.3% 15.3% 14.4% 8.2%
Oscar Gilroy 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 7.1% 8.3% 11.8% 13.5% 15.2% 14.4% 7.9%
Aengus Onken 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 4.7% 4.9% 9.7% 15.8% 54.6%
Finn Deprez 5.1% 6.4% 6.5% 7.6% 10.8% 9.8% 12.2% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 5.9% 2.8% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.