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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.51+4.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.81vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.94+1.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+0.25vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.18+5.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.18+2.02vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.55vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.65+1.02vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.11-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.53-6.42vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute0.04-3.66vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-2.82+1.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-3.74vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.93-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.87Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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10.4Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.02Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.45Maine Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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9.02Columbia University-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.17Texas A&M University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Michigan1.530.2%1st Place
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7.34Webb Institute0.040.0%1st Place
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13.11Stevens Institute of Technology-2.820.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.78Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Starck | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Kopack | 18.7% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Finn Deprez | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lyles Bechtel | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Scott Mather | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 19.7% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Taylor | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Saletta | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 65.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 34.5% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.