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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+2.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.45vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40-0.40vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.43+2.78vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.77vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43-4.53vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.09-0.53vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.81-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.45Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.81SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.78Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.47Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.47Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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7.09Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Folger | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paige Conlin | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 18.5% | 25.3% | 27.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 25.2% | 43.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.