Race 5A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lorenzo Puertas 20.7% 19.6% 17.0% 14.6% 8.6% 9.0% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tomas Riccio 14.6% 15.8% 15.3% 13.6% 12.8% 9.3% 7.9% 5.6% 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
James Kopack 18.5% 17.0% 14.6% 12.1% 12.7% 9.8% 7.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Logan Mraz 11.9% 11.8% 12.5% 13.4% 12.7% 9.5% 9.9% 7.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Alexander Salzberg 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.7% 9.1% 8.1% 8.8% 13.8% 11.1% 10.6% 8.5% 2.7%
Finn Deprez 6.8% 6.2% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 9.9% 11.0% 12.6% 9.8% 8.2% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Alex Von Lehe 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 1.3% 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 6.1% 10.3% 15.7% 23.5% 18.8%
Lyles Bechtel 2.2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 12.0% 13.8% 14.9% 16.3% 6.4%
Scott Mather 5.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 8.7% 9.6% 11.4% 10.9% 11.9% 10.1% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0%
Aidan Woods 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 6.8% 8.3% 10.7% 11.2% 12.0% 13.6% 11.7% 5.9%
Oscar Gilroy 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 4.3% 4.7% 6.0% 5.5% 9.5% 11.3% 14.9% 14.1% 14.7% 7.8%
Adam Starck 7.4% 7.3% 9.6% 10.2% 10.4% 9.5% 12.1% 11.2% 8.4% 7.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Aengus Onken 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 1.2% 2.5% 4.2% 5.5% 10.4% 15.3% 54.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.