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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+2.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.97vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.73vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.15+1.02vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.93+3.07vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.69+1.41vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.22+1.55vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.30-1.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.42vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.88+0.62vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-1.13-2.40vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-4.36vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.65-3.15vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.2%1st Place
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3.73Maine Maritime Academy0.660.2%1st Place
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5.02Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
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8.07Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.41Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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8.55Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.2SUNY Maritime College-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.0%1st Place
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10.62Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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8.6Webb Institute-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.64Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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13.14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Hammarlund | 19.6% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Toby Clarkson | 20.1% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Nikita Troast | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Jones | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Kate Adams | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 11.4% |
| Jack Prior | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Giordano | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 6.3% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.