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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.66+2.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.26vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.30+3.54vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.15+1.24vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-1.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.40-0.39vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.88+2.50vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.93-0.68vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-1.13-1.29vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.80-3.37vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.69-4.27vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.22-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Maine Maritime Academy0.660.2%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.2%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University0.150.1%1st Place
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3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Michigan-0.400.1%1st Place
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10.5Middlebury College-1.880.0%1st Place
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8.32Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.71Webb Institute-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.63Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.73Columbia University-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.15Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Clarkson | 18.2% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 15.3% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Troast | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Riley | 10.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Jones | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Lila Torresen | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Kate Adams | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 36.6% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Jack Prior | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.